The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of a moderately contagious disease

Table 2 Municipalities of key interest

A selection of municipalities with the mean incidence and bootstrapped 95 % simulation intervals with extinction runs filtered out. This set and its ordering is the same for the individual rows in the table, which explains the zero-valued lower interval bounds and other discrepancies.
After Stockholm, Göteborg and Malmö are the largest cities in Sweden. The single most traveled route is that between Stockholm and neighboring Huddinge, traveled by approximately 37 000 people daily, each way. The decline in incidence closely follows that in Stockholm.
Upplands-Bro is representative of an outer suburb to Stockholm. Södertälje and Norrtälje are nearby towns but are not considered suburbs. Västerås and Eskilstuna are more distant, but have a fair number of commuters. Örebro through Luleå are larger towns at some distance from Stockholm with no notable commuter traffic. Finally, the last four are small towns in southern Sweden.
SI, simulation intervals

ISSN: 1741-7015