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Table 2 Posterior changes in model parameters. Parameters whose posteriors significantly differed from their priors across all the anopheline (An) and culicine (Cx) villages are identified by the Kolmogorov–Smirnov two-sample test. The null hypothesis (H) is that priors and posteriors have the same underlying distribution. The keys are: 1, reject the null H at the 5 % significance level; and 0, do not reject the null H. Note that the parameters kLin, ψ1, ψ2, HLin, IC and SC differed from their priors across all ten or nine anopheline study villages. In the remaining culicine study villages, the parameters that differed from their priors across all eight (or seven) villages were κ, r, ψ1, ψ2, c and HLin

From: Heterogeneous dynamics, robustness/fragility trade-offs, and the eradication of the macroparasitic disease, lymphatic filariasis

Study villages

Spp.

λ

α

k0

kLin

κ

r

σ

ψ1

ψ2

μ

γ

g

c

HLin

V/H

IC

SC

Peneng

An

1

1

0

1

0

0

1

1

1

0

0

1

1

1

1

1

1

Albulum

An

0

1

0

1

1

0

1

1

1

1

1

0

1

1

0

1

1

Yauatong

An

0

1

0

1

0

1

0

0

0

1

1

0

1

1

0

1

0

Nanaha

An

1

0

0

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

Ngahmbule

An

0

0

0

1

0

0

1

1

1

1

0

1

1

1

0

1

1

Masaika

An

0

0

1

1

0

1

0

1

1

0

1

1

0

1

0

1

1

Tawalani

An

1

0

1

1

0

0

0

1

1

1

0

0

1

1

1

1

1

Jaribuni

An

0

1

0

1

0

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

1

0

1

1

Tingrela

An

0

1

0

1

0

0

1

1

1

1

0

1

1

1

0

1

1

Chiconi

An

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

1

1

Sum of An sites

 

3

5

2

10

3

5

7

9

9

6

4

5

7

9

3

10

9

Kingwede

Cx

0

1

1

1

0

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

1

0

Mao

Cx

1

0

0

0

0

1

0

1

1

1

0

1

1

1

1

1

0

Mambrui

Cx

0

1

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

1

1

0

1

0

Pondicherry

Cx

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

Calcutta

Cx

1

1

0

0

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

1

1

1

1

0

1

Vettavallam

Cx

0

1

0

1

0

1

1

1

1

1

0

1

1

0

0

1

0

Pakistan

Cx

1

0

0

0

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

1

1

1

1

1

1

Jakarta

Cx

1

1

0

1

0

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

1

1

1

0

0

Sum of Cx sites

 

5

6

2

4

3

8

7

8

8

6

2

6

8

7

5

6

2