Fig. 2

Predicted percent increases in ART visits across efficiency improvement scenarios, by country. Note: The darker line represents point estimates for predicted percent increases in ART visits, given an efficiency improvement threshold, in each country, while the shaded areas represent uncertainty intervals for point estimates. Efficiency improvement thresholds reflect the levels of technical efficiency sought by facilities with efficiency scores below the given thresholds. At the 50 % efficiency improvement threshold, all facilities with efficiency scores below 50 % would increase efficiency to 50 %; facilities with efficiency scores above 50 % would not experience increased efficiency. Percent increase in ART visits represents the predicted increase in ART visits that could be produced, given observed facility resources, if all facilities below a given efficiency improvement threshold reached that threshold. ART, antiretroviral therapy