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Table 6 Two-by-two contingency tables for the UKCAT as a hypothetical screening test for failing to pass, at first sitting, at least 1 year at medical school

From: Predictive validity of the UKCAT for medical school undergraduate performance: a national prospective cohort study

Screening result

Fail at least one exam at first sitting

Screen positive (low threshold: z ≤ –1)

No

Yes

Total

 No

14,198

7808

22,006

 Yes

1152

1465

2617

 Total

15,350

9273

24,623

Screen positive (medium threshold: z ≤ 0)

No

Yes

Total

 No

9560

4370

13,930

 Yes

5790

4903

10,693

 Total

15,350

9273

24,623

Screen positive (high threshold: z ≤ 1)

No

Yes

Total

 No

2844

939

3783

 Yes

12,506

8334

20,840

 Total

15,350

9273

24,623

  1. Three thresholds are set for the standardised UKCAT score: low (z ≤ –1), medium (z ≤ 0), and high (z ≤ 1). Missing values for outcomes (including for unsuccessful applicants) were singly imputed, conditioned on relevant observed variables