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Table 2 England and Wales population forecasts and projected number of deaths, 2014–2040 [7]

From: How many people will need palliative care in 2040? Past trends, future projections and implications for services

 

Population (‘000 s)

Deaths

2014

2020

2030

2040

2014

2020

2030

2040

All

57,409

60,011

63,763

66,852

501,424

499,868

546,768

628,659

0–44

32,707

33,498

34,662

35,231

18,703

17,229

15,335

13,496

45–64

14,550

15,228

15,127

15,441

60,482

59,229

52,641

44,589

65–74

5501

5972

6831

7168

82,418

83,373

77,863

77,056

75–84

3297

3744

4863

5744

145,366

141,247

160,314

159,091

85 +

1354

1569

2280

3268

194,455

198,790

240,603

334,427

% aged ≥ 65

17.7

18.8

21.9

24.2

84.2

84.7

87.6

90.8

% aged ≥ 85

2.4

2.6

3.6

4.8

38.8

39.8

44.0

53.2