Table 2 Deaths and premature mortality of main NCDs for people aged 30–70 in 2013 and projections for 2030 if risk factor trends continue in China
Gender | Disease | 2013 | 2030 | Percent change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deaths (in thousands) | Mortality ratea (1/100,000) | Premature mortalityb (%) | Deaths (in thousands) | Mortality rate if risk factor trends continue (1/100,000) | Premature mortality if risk factor trends continue (%) | Deaths | Mortality rate | Premature mortality | ||
Both | Total | 3108 | 432.2 | 19.8 | 3521 | 431.8 | 17.2 | 13.3 | –0.1 | –13.1 |
CVD | 1241 | 172.6 | 8.6 | 1518 | 186.2 | 7.8 | 22.3 | 7.9 | –9.3 | |
Cancer | 1270 | 176.6 | 8.3 | 1444 | 177.1 | 7.5 | 13.7 | 0.3 | –9.6 | |
Diabetes mellitus | 59 | 8.1 | 0.4 | 75 | 9.2 | 0.4 | 27.1 | 13.6 | 0 | |
Chronic respiratory diseases | 210 | 29.3 | 1.7 | 165 | 20.2 | 0.9 | –21.4 | –31.1 | –47.1 | |
Other NCDs | 328 | 45.6 | 2.1 | 319 | 39.1 | 1.7 | –2.7 | –14.3 | –19 | |
Men | Total | 2043 | 553.6 | 25.4 | 2453 | 586 | 23.5 | 20.1 | 5.9 | –7.5 |
CVD | 806 | 218.5 | 11.2 | 1041 | 248.6 | 10.8 | 29.2 | 13.8 | –3.6 | |
Cancer | 847 | 229.6 | 11.2 | 1026 | 245.1 | 10.6 | 21.1 | 6.8 | –5.4 | |
Diabetes mellitus | 30 | 8.3 | 0.4 | 43 | 10.2 | 0.5 | 43.3 | 22.9 | 25 | |
Chronic respiratory diseases | 138 | 37.5 | 2.3 | 119 | 28.5 | 1.3 | –13.8 | –24.0 | –43.5 | |
Other NCDs | 222 | 59.8 | 2.8 | 224 | 53.6 | 2.4 | 0.9 | –10.4 | –14.3 | |
Women | Total | 1065 | 304.2 | 13.4 | 1068 | 269.1 | 10.2 | 0.3 | –11.5 | –23.9 |
CVD | 435 | 124.3 | 5.9 | 478 | 120.4 | 4.6 | 9.9 | –3.1 | –22 | |
Cancer | 422 | 120.7 | 5.3 | 418 | 105.3 | 4.3 | –0.9 | –12.8 | –18.9 | |
Diabetes mellitus | 28 | 8 | 0.4 | 32 | 8.2 | 0.3 | 14.3 | 2.5 | –25 | |
Chronic respiratory diseases | 72 | 20.6 | 1.1 | 45 | 11.4 | 0.4 | –37.5 | –44.7 | –63.6 | |
Other NCDs | 108 | 30.6 | 1.4 | 95 | 23.9 | 1 | –12 | –21.9 | –28.6 | |