Disease outcomeb | Price change scenario | < High school (n = 60,742,522) | High school (n = 119,506,708)d | College (n = 28,482,268) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% price change | SES gradientc | No. of deaths/year prevented (95% UI) | Proportion (%) of deaths prevented (95% UI) | No. of deaths/year prevented (95% UI) | Proportion (%) of deaths prevented (95% UI) | No. of deaths/year prevented (95% UI) | Proportion (%) of deaths prevented (95% UI) | |
CHD | 10% | Low | 2657 (2325–3008) | 3.0 (2.6–3.4) | 8054 (7255–8908) | 3.7 (3.3–4.1) | 1486 (1323–1728) | 2.8 (2.5–3.2) |
High | 3120 (2732–3531) | 3.5 (3.1–3.9) | 8054 (7255–8908) | 3.7 (3.3–4.1) | 1268 (1127–1478) | 2.4 (2.1–2.8) | ||
30% | Low | 7380 (6492–8243) | 8.2 (7.3–9.2) | 21816 (19755–23985) | 9.9 (9.0–10.9) | 3996 (3563–4560) | 7.5 (6.7–8.5) | |
High | 8546 (7534–9532) | 9.5 (8.4–10.6) | 21816 (19755–23985) | 9.9 (9.0–10.9) | 3463 (3090–3960) | 6.5 (5.8–7.4) | ||
Hypertensive HD | 10% | Low | 12 (8–17) | 0.1 (0.1–0.2) | 29 (19–43) | 0.1 (0.1–0.2) | 3 (2–5) | 0.1 (0.0–0.1) |
High | 14 (10–21) | 0.2 (0.1–0.3) | 29 (19–43) | 0.1 (0.1–0.2) | 3 (2–4) | 0.1 (0.0–0.1) | ||
30% | Low | 35 (25–52) | 0.4 (0.3–0.7) | 87 (57–127) | 0.4 (0.3–0.6) | 10 (7–16) | 0.2 (0.1–0.3) | |
High | 42 (29–61) | 0.5 (0.4–0.8) | 87 (57–127) | 0.4 (0.3–0.6) | 9 (6–13) | 0.2 (0.1–0.3) | ||
Stroke, total | 10% | Low | 1588 (1415–1767) | 5.0 (4.5–5.6) | 4307 (3871–4768) | 5.8 (5.2–6.4) | 1041 (939–1148) | 5.4 (4.9–6.0) |
High | 1864 (1662–2073) | 5.9 (5.2–6.5) | 4307 (3871–4768) | 5.8 (5.2–6.4) | 888 (801–981) | 4.6 (4.2–5.1) | ||
30% | Low | 4347 (3890–4803) | 13.7 (12.3–15.1) | 11633 (10518–12778) | 15.5 (14–17.1) | 2740 (2488–3002) | 14.2 (12.9–15.6) | |
High | 5007 (4487–5524) | 15.8 (14.1–17.4) | 11633 (10518–12778) | 15.5 (14–17.1) | 2388 (2165–2620) | 12.4 (11.2–13.6) | ||
Diabetes | 10% | Low | 585 (498–697) | 3.2 (2.7–3.8) | 1488 (1297–1756) | 3.7 (3.2–4.4) | 197 (171–294) | 2.4 (2.1–3.6) |
High | 687 (586–815) | 3.8 (3.2–4.5) | 1488 (1297–1756) | 3.7 (3.2–4.4) | 167 (146–255) | 2.0 (1.8–3.1) | ||
30% | Low | 1631 (1410–1899) | 9.0 (7.8–10.5) | 4104 (3613–4700) | 10.2 (9–11.7) | 557 (489–705) | 6.7 (5.9–8.5) | |
High | 1895 (1643–2202) | 10.5 (9.1–12.2) | 4104 (3613–4700) | 10.2 (9–11.7) | 476 (418–618) | 5.8 (5.1–7.5) | ||
CMD, total | 10% | Low | 5286 (4847–5735) | 3.1 (2.9–3.4) | 14954 (13897–16010) | 3.6 (3.3–3.8) | 2934 (2714–3557) | 2.9 (2.7–3.5) |
High | 6210 (5697–6735) | 3.7 (3.4–4.0) | 14954 (13897–16010) | 3.6 (3.3–3.8) | 2501 (2310–3074) | 2.5 (2.3–3.0) | ||
30% | Low | 14672 (13487–15843) | 8.7 (8.0–9.3) | 40732 (38042–43415) | 9.8 (9.1–10.4) | 7906 (7357–8853) | 7.7 (7.2–8.7) | |
High | 16986 (15632–18331) | 10 (9.2–10.8) | 40732 (38042–43415) | 9.8 (9.1–10.4) | 6847 (6372–7751) | 6.7 (6.2–7.6) |