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Table 3 Results for main analysis and sensitivity analyses

From: Bayesian adaptive algorithms for locating HIV mobile testing services

Parameters

Values

Thompson sampling

Besag York Mollié

Win percentage

New diagnoses

New diagnoses

Win percentage

New diagnoses

New diagnoses

Mean

Std Dev

Mean

Std dev

Main analysis

N/A

20%

78.24

11.44

80%

92.59

12.37

percentage of new HIV-negative arrivals (times zone population divided 365 days)

0

17%

79.75

12.02

83%

96.40

11.50

percentage of new HIV-negative arrivals (times zone population divided 365 days)

1.7%

19%

79.07

11.21

81%

92.88

11.52

percentage of new HIV-negative arrivals (times zone population divided 365 days)

6.8%

16%

77.53

12.10

84%

93.17

10.85

Grid dimensions

4 × 4

54%

94.94

13.73

46%

93.18

13.85

Grid dimensions

5 × 5

38%

85.70

13.30

62%

91.98

11.84

Grid dimension

10 × 10

28%

65.81

9.52

72%

74.69

11.40

Percentage of new infections (times zone population divided by 365 days)

0

13%

71.99

11.19

87%

88.34

11.40

Percentage of new infections (times zone population divided by 365 days)

0.33%

14%

74.52

10.72

86%

89.88

10.21

Percentage of new infections (times zone population divided by 365 days)

1.32%

20%

85.46

11.30

80%

99.84

12.63

No arrivals or infections

N/A

20%

78.24

11.44

80%

92.59

12.37

Level of correlation, percentage of hotspots in grid

None, 20% (on average)

18%

78.20

12.07

82%

93.97

12.57

Level of correlation, percentage of hotspots in grid

Low, 10% (on average)

16%

68.13

9.70

84%

82.93

13.29

Level of correlation, percentage of hotspots in grid

Low, 30% (on average)

23%

88.59

11.89

77%

100.56

11.82

Level of correlation, percentage of hotspots in grid

Medium, 20% (on average)

18%

78.83

11.31

82%

93.62

11.86

Level of correlation, percentage of hotspots in grid

High, 20% (on average)

14%

78.41

11.56

86%

95.86

11.38

Days until return to unobserved, uninfected pool

10

23%

79.46

12.34

77%

92.54

12.00

Days until return to unobserved, uninfected pool

90

16%

78.28

10.90

84%

93.58

12.05

Days of testing

90

27%

33.17

6.84

73%

39.81

7.83

Days of testing

365

30%

193.79

20.24

70%

206.10

21.31

Tests per day

10

27%

27.55

6.07

73%

32.53

6.83

Tests per day

40

29%

137.54

15.17

71%

148.91

16.43