Table 4 Distribution of risks (2.5th and 97.5th percentile) of patients in the test cohort according to each model, stratified by their risk in model A, and average 95% CI for risks in model A

0.3–0.4%

0.1–0.9%

0.1–0.9%

0.1–1.0%

0.1–1.0%

0.1–1.0%

0.3–0.4%

0.1–1.0%

0.1–1.0%

0.0–1.0%

0.0–1.0%

0.0–1.1%

1.4–1.5%

1.0–2.2%

1.0–2.3%

0.6–2.3%

0.6–2.4%

0.6–2.6%

1.4–1.6%

1.0–2.0%

1.0–2.1%

0.7–2.2%

0.7–2.2%

0.6–2.7%

2.3–2.6%

1.9–3.6%

1.9–3.9%

1.2–3.9%

1.1–4.0%

1.1–4.4%

2.4–2.6%

2.0–3.2%

2.0–3.3%

1.3–3.4%

1.2–3.5%

1.1–4.4%

3.3–3.6%

2.8–5.0%

2.7–5.5%

1.7–5.4%

1.6–5.6%

1.5–6.1%

3.3–3.6%

2.9–4.5%

2.9–4.8%

1.9–4.7%

1.8–5.0%

1.6–6.0%

4.3–4.7%

3.7–6.5%

3.6–7.4%

2.3–7.2%

2.2–7.3%

2.1–8.0%

4.3–4.7%

3.9–5.7%

3.8–6.2%

2.5–6.0%

2.4–6.3%

2.1–7.5%

5.3–5.7%

4.5–7.8%

4.4–8.9%

2.8–8.5%

2.6–8.8%

2.5–9.5%

5.3–5.7%

4.8–6.9%

4.7–7.7%

3.1–7.6%

2.9–7.6%

2.5–9.3%

6.2–6.8%

5.4–9.3%

5.3–10.6%

3.3–10.0%

3.1–10.1%

3.0–11.3%

6.2–6.7%

5.7–8.2%

5.6–8.9%

3.7–8.9%

3.5–9.0%

3.1–11.1%

7.2–7.8%

6.3–10.4%

6.1–11.8%

3.8–11.5%

3.6–11.7%

3.5–12.6%

7.2–7.8%

6.6–9.5%

6.5–10.7%

4.3–10.4%

4.1–10.6%

3.7–12.9%

8.2–8.8%

7.1–11.7%

6.8–14.3%

4.3–13.3%

4.1–13.3%

4.0–14.6%

8.2–8.8%

7.5–10.6%

7.5–11.8%

4.9–11.5%

4.6–11.9%

4.2–14.1%

9.1–9.9%

8.0–13.5%

7.7–16.1%

4.9–15.0%

4.6–15.5%

4.4–16.3%

9.2–9.8%

8.4–11.8%

8.3–13.8%

5.5–13.2%

5.1–13.7%

4.6–15.8%

10.1–10.9%

8.8–14.5%

8.5–16.8%

5.3–16.6%

5.1–16.8%

4.9–18.1%

10.1–10.8%

9.2–13.0%

9.0–15.3%

6.0–14.9%

5.6–15.1%

5.2–17.8%

11.1–11.9%

9.8–16.3%

9.4–19.6%

5.9–19.3%

5.6–20.1%

5.4–21.1%

11.1–11.9%

10.1–14.2%

9.9–16.5%

6.7–15.8%

6.3–16.0%

5.9–18.9%

12.1–12.9%

10.7–17.9%

10.1–21.3%

6.4–20.5%

6.0–21.5%

5.8–22.5%

12.1–12.9%

11.0–15.5%

10.8–17.8%

7.3–17.0%

6.8–17.8%

6.4–20.5%

13.0–14.0%

11.4–18.5%

10.9–21.5%

7.1–21.1%

6.7–22.6%

6.6–23.3%

13.1–14.0%

12.0–16.8%

11.8–19.6%

8.0–19.2%

7.5–19.9%

6.9–22.6%

14.0–15.0%

12.2–19.7%

11.6–23.3%

7.5–22.5%

7.3–22.7%

6.9–24.3%

14.0–15.0%

12.8–17.8%

12.6–21.7%

8.5–20.3%

8.0–20.8%

7.5–23.3%

15.0–16.0%

13.1–22.0%

12.3–26.5%

8.2–26.3%

7.7–27.2%

7.6–28.1%

15.0–16.0%

13.5–19.2%

13.3–22.8%

9.0–21.7%

8.6–22.2%

8.1–23.8%

15.9–17.1%

13.9–22.1%

13.0–27.4%

8.5–26.9%

8.0–27.5%

7.9–28.1%

16.0–17.0%

14.6–20.4%

14.2–24.0%

9.8–24.0%

9.2–24.7%

8.7–27.4%

16.9–18.1%

14.9–23.9%

14.1–27.9%

9.2–28.9%

8.8–28.7%

8.7–29.5%

16.9–18.1%

15.3–22.8%

15.0–26.9%

10.3–25.5%

9.7–25.5%

9.2–28.6%

17.9–19.2%

15.7–25.4%

14.8–30.0%

9.8–29.8%

9.6–29.7%

9.1–32.7%

17.9–19.1%

16.3–23.8%

15.8–26.7%

10.9–26.8%

10.4–26.7%

10.0–29.5%

18.8–20.2%

16.6–25.8%

15.7–32.1%

10.5–32.6%

10.0–33.8%

9.7–34.4%

18.9–20.2%

17.2–25.2%

16.7–28.7%

11.5–29.5%

10.9–28.9%

10.4–32.1%