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Fig. 7 | BMC Medicine

Fig. 7

From: A novel sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic waves

Fig. 7

Representative 10-day ahead forecasts of the sub-epidemic model to the SARS outbreak in Singapore. The model was able to capture the two-wave pattern once the model is calibrated using data that includes the early surge of the second sub-epidemic. Black circles correspond to the data points. The model fit (solid red line) and 95% prediction interval (dashed red lines) are also shown. The vertical line indicates the start time of the forecast

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