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Table 1 Parameter posterior summaries of the refitted model for Madagascar

From: Mapping malaria seasonality in Madagascar using health facility data

Description

Term

Posterior median

95% credible interval

Intercept

Intercept

− 2.655

(− 2.740,− 2.570)

Precipitation

CHIRPS_r

0.060

(0.029,0.090)

 

CHIRPS_r_lag1

0.019

(− 0.012,0.050)

 

CHIRPS_r_lag2

0.051

(0.021,0.082)

 

CHIRPS_r_lag3

0.053

(0.022,0.084)

Temperature suitability

TSI_Pv_r

0.013

(− 0.022,0.047)

 

TSI_Pv_r_lag2

0.074

(0.039,0.109)

Vegetation cover

EVI_r_lag3

0.006

(− 0.021,0.032)

Tasselled cap brightness

TCB_r

− 0.019

(− 0.050,0.012)

 

TCB_r_lag3

0.011

(− 0.020,0.043)

Observation variance

\(\sigma _{e}^{2}\)

0.326

(0.318,0.333)

Field variance

\(\sigma _{f}^{2}\)

0.245

(0.221,0.268)

Matérn scaling parameter

κ

3.163

(2.834,3.522)

Autoregressive parameter

a

0.756

(0.718,0.777)

  1. The posterior medians of the statistically significant parameters under a 5% significance level are italicized. The Matérn smoothness parameter ν was fixed to 1