Skip to main content
Fig. 5 | BMC Medicine

Fig. 5

From: Transmissibility and pathogenicity of the emerging meningococcal serogroup W sequence type-11 complex South American strain: a mathematical modeling study

Fig. 5

Predicted duration of silent MenW:cc11/SA carriage transmission. Assuming perfect (i.e., complete and not delayed) reporting, we ran 103 model simulations and recorded the time between the start of MenW:cc11/SA carriage transmission and the first report of disease, in a given age group or in any age group. In all simulations, the MenW:cc11/SA parameters used were those estimated in England (Table 2), while the non-MenW:cc11 parameters were fixed to the values calibrated in England (England-like scenarios) or in France (France-like scenarios)

Back to article page