Fig. 6

Model outputs for notifications and prevalence in Ghana. a Notifications: Total notifications from model (thin solid line) closely match Global Tuberculosis Programme data (black dots). TIME Impact estimates the positive predictive value amongst notifications to be 75 %. True positive notifications are shown in the dark blue shaded area and false positive notifications are shown in shaded light blue. b Prevalence: Model was calibrated to adult prevalence estimates from the 2013 national prevalence survey (squares). Modelled smear positive adult prevalence is represented in red and all forms adult prevalence is represented in blue