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Table 2 Characteristics and quantitative synthesis of the eligible MAs of MLT for health

From: Melatonin and health: an umbrella review of health outcomes and biological mechanisms of action

First author (year) [reference]

Health outcome

No of participants included in MA

No of primary studies included in MA

Reported effect size

Random-effects summary effect size (95% CI)

P random

Fixed-effects summary effect size (95% CI)

P fixed

95% PI

I2 (%)

Estimate of the study with lowest SE in MA (95% CI)1

Small-study effects/excess statistical significance

Addiction

 Wright2 (2015) [36]

Withdrawal symptoms

244

4

OR

1.39 (0.42, 4.65)

0.594

1.11 (0.65, 1.90)

0.694

0.01, 277.67

75.9

1.00 (0.37, 2.67)

No/No

Cancer

 Basler (2014) [68]

Risk of breast cancer

1650

5

RR

0.82 (0.68, 0.99)

0.043

0.82 (0.71, 0.95)

0.01

0.50, 1.34

31.7

0.81 (0.64, 1.02)

No/No

 Wang (2012) [31]

761

8

RR

1.95 (1.49, 2.54)

0.0001

1.96 (1.50, 2.56)

0.0001

1.40, 2.71

0

2.25 (1.39, 3.64)

No/No

 Wang (2012) [31]

590

5

RR

1.90 (1.28, 2.83)

0.0002

1.82 (1.49, 2.24)

0.0001

0.56, 6.47

61.9

1.26 (0.97, 1.65)

No/No

Delirium

 Chen (2015) [35]

Incidence of delirium

669

4

RR

0.41 (0.15, 1.13)

0.084

0.73 (0.55, 0.95)

0.021

0.01, 35.8

83.8

1.16 (0.83, 1.61)

Yes/No

Dementia

 Jansen3 (2009) [30]

Cognition

121

2

MD

–2.64 (–5.99, 0.71)

0.123

–2.12 (–3.82, 0.42)

0.015

–

68.6

–1.15 (–3.16, 0.86)

–/No

 Jansen (2009) [30]

Mood and behaviour

150

3

MD

0.18 (–0.73, 1.10)

0.698

0.18 (–0.73, 1.10)

0.698

–5.76, –6.12

0

–0.01 (–1.08, 1.06)

No/No

Depression/mood disorders

 De Crescenzo (2017) [127]

Mood disorders

181

3

SMD

0.37 (–0.05, 0.78)

0.087

0.39 (0.08, 0.70)

0.013

–3.74, 4.47

43

0.32 (–0.14, 0.78)

No/No

 Guaiana (2013) [34]

Response to treatment

3826

10

RR

1.01 (0.95, 1.08)

0.749

1.00 (0.95, 1.06)

0.881

0.87. 1.17

31.4

1.04 (0.93, 1.15)

No/Yes

 Huang (2014) [65]

1871

6

RR

1.07 (1.02, 1.13)

0.01

1.08 (1.03, 1.15)

0.005

0.99, 1.16

0

1.04 (0.93, 1.15)

No/No

 Guaiana (2013) [34]

Remission

3826

10

RR

0.83 (0.68, 1.02)

0.069

0.87 (0.80, 0.94)

0.0007

0.43, 1.59

77.8

0.95 (0.85, 1.06)

No/No

 Huang (2014) [65]

 

1742

5

RR

1.11 (1.01, 1.23)

0.035

1.12 (1.01, 1.24)

0.038

0.95, 1.31

0

1.09 (0.93, 1.27)

No/No

 Hansen3 (2014) [65]

Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale

74

2

MD

0.97 (–0.84, 2.78)

0.293

0.93 (–0.42, 2.28)

0.178

–

44

0.10 (–1.72, 1.92)

–/No

 Hansen3 (2014) [65]

Beck Depression Inventory

91

2

MD

–1.09 (–2.60, 0.42)

0.157

–1.09 (–2.60, 0.42)

0.157

–

0

–1.00 (–2.54, 0.54)

–/No

Infertility

 Seko (2014) [25]

Pregnancy rate

680

5

RR

1.21 (0.98, 1.49)

0.071

1.21 (0.98, 1.50)

0.071

0.86, –1.70

0

1.13 (0.85, 1.51)

No/No

 Seko (2014) [25]

Oocytes retrieved

680

5

MD

0.57 (–0.22, 1.35)

0.155

0.23 (–0.12, 0.8)

0.2

–1.91, –3.04

68.7

–0.07 (–0.57, 0.43)

Yes/No

Pre- and post-operative care

 Andersen (2014) [33]

Pre-operative anxiety

761

11

SMD

–0.88 (–1.33, –0.44)

<0.0001

–0.91 (–1.07, –0.75)

<0.0001

–2.53, –0.76

86.7

0.00 (–0.33, 0.33)

No/No

 Hansen3 (2015) [169]

122

2

MD

–1.18 (–2.59, 0.23)

0.1

–1.18 (–2.59, 0.23)

0.1

–

0

–1.30 (–2.76, 0.16)

–/No

 Hansen3 (2015) [169]

Post-operative anxiety

73

2

MD

–5.31 (–8.78, –1.84)

0.003

–5.31 (–8.78, –1.84)

0.003

–

0

–5.40 (–10.12, –0.68)

–/No

 Andersen (2014) [33]

Post-operative pain

524

8

SMD

–1.06 (–1.89, –0.24)

0.012

–0.12 (–0.30, 0.07)

0.205

–3.97, 1.85

94.2

0.43 (0.09, 0.77)

Yes/No

 Mihara (2015) [41]

Prevention of agitation

170

3

RR

0.31 (0.16, 0.60)

<0.0001

0.29 (0.15, 0.56)

<0.0001

0.00, 23.06

0

0.40 (0.18, 0.89)

No/Yes

Safety

 Liu (2012) [40]

Adverse effects

2912

7

RR

1.10 (1.02, 1.20)

0.009

1.11 (1.03, 1.20)

0.006

1.02, 1.20

0

1.13 (0.97, 1.31)

No/Yes

Primary sleep disorders

 Liu3 (2012) [40]

Sleep latency

405

1 (with six subgroups)

MD

–14.26 (–18.54, –9.98)

<0.0001

–14.26 (–18.54, –9.98)

<0.0001

–20.32, –8.19

0

–16.70 (–26.82, –6.58)

–/NE

 Kuriyama (2014) [39]

5781

12

WMD

–4.15 (–6.82, –1.47)

0.002

–3.30 (–4.88, –1.71)

<0.0001

–11.69, 3.39

52.2

–2.40 (–5.28, 0.48)

No/No

 Liira (2014) [38]

148

5

MD

–0.15 (–2.48, 2.18)

0.899

–0.41 (–2.32, 1.50)

0.674

–5.64, 5.34

21.6

–1.10 (–3.83, 1.63)

Yes/No

 Liira (2014) [38]

266

7

MD

24.30 (9.80, 38.80)

0.001

24.30 (9.80, 38.80)

0.001

5.29, 43.32

0

23.00 (–3.13, 49.13)

No/No

 Kuriyama (2014) [39]

Sleep quality

5812

13

SMD

–0.08 (–0.13, –0.03)

0.003

–0.08 (–0.13, –0.03)

0.003

–0.14, –0.02

0

–0.15 (–0.27, –0.02)

No/No

 Zhang3 (2016) [157]

18

1

MD

4.20 (0.92, 7.48)

0.012

4.20 (0.92, 7.48)

0.012

–

–

4.20 (0.92, 7.48)

–/No

Animal studies

 Yang (2016) [32]

Spinal cord injury

90

6

MD

1.52 (0.06, 2.98)

0.041

1.29 (0.82, 1.77)

<0.0001

–3.69, 6.73

89

0.16 (–0.88, 1.20)

Yes/No

  1. CI confidence interval, MA meta-analysis, MD mean difference, MLT melatonin, NE not estimable, OR odds ratio, PI prediction interval, RR risk ratio, SE standard error, SMD standardised mean differences, WMD weighted mean differences
  2. 1Estimate of the largest study with lowest SE from random-effect model
  3. 2Estimates did not match with forest plot in the article
  4. 3The 95% prediction interval and the evidence of small-study effects were calculated for those MAs where ≥3 studies combined (it cannot be calculated for less than three studies as degrees of freedom will be zero for two studies and negative for one study)