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Table 10 Sensitivity analyses of determinants of healthcare costs for paediatric febrile episodes

From: The cost of diagnostic uncertainty: a prospective economic analysis of febrile children attending an NHS emergency department

 

β (base-case)#

β (bootstrapped)

Minimum β (% lower)#

Maximum β (% higher)#

Statistically significant* (%)

0–3 months

3.543

3.11

2.16 (39.02%)

3.92 (10.69%)

100

0–6 months

2.207

2.08

1.45 (34.39%)

2.68 (21.55%)

100

6–12 months

1.186

1.27

1.00 (15.75%)

1.54 (29.84%)

38.38

3–6 years

0.848

0.88

0.68 (19.3%)

0.98 (15.77%)

19.19

6–10 years

0.954

1.00

0.74 (22.39%)

1.18 (23.63%)

0

10–16 years

1.927

1.81

1.25 (35.27%)

2.10 (8.98%)

100

Gender (male)

0.849

0.90

0.78 (7.91%)

0.99 (16.64%)

8.08

Time (book-in to triage)

0.994

1.00

0.99 (0.24%)

1.00 (0.65%)

16.16

NICE HR

1.034

1.03

0.89 (14.04%)

1.12 (8.75%)

0

NICE RR

1.721

1.65

1.19 (30.71%)

1.99 (15.60%)

100

Time (triage to call in)

0.999

1.00

1.00 (0.14%)

1.00 (0.13%)

3.03

APNP

0.573

0.69

0.37 (36.23%)

0.99 (72.91%)

28.28

FY1/FY2

3.193

3.29

1.98 (37.94%)

4.06 (27.11%)

100

ST1-3

0.851

0.90

0.72 (15.88%)

1.01 (18.17%)

0

REG

0.933

1.00

0.76 (19.02%)

1.12 (20.10%)

0

After hours

1.159

1.19

0.90 (21.98%)

1.47 (26.54%)

2.02

Winter

0.806

0.79

0.68 (15.08%)

0.89 (10.11%)

98.99

MTS yellow

2.382

2.27

1.77 (25.67%)

2.61 (9.59%)

100

MTS orange

2.857

2.89

2.23 (22.08%)

3.21 (12.43%)

100

MTS red

2.992

4.52

1.95 (34.80%)

6.87 (129.76%)

100

Constant

164.8

143.50

90.33 (45.19%)

179.37 (8.84%)

100

  1. Reference group age = 1–3 years, reference group clinical grade = consultants, reference group MTS classification = green
  2. #Figures are exponentiated GLM (gamma, log) coefficients, interpreted as x-fold increases versus the reference group
  3. *Proportion of 100 bootstrapped GLM regressions in which p value was < 0.05