Table 1 Parameters used in the model. Parameters that are camp-specific take independent values for Balukhali and Kutupalong, and the initial proportion of infectious people is specific to each age group in each camp
From: Real-time analysis of the diphtheria outbreak in forcibly displaced Myanmar nationals in Bangladesh
Name | Description | Age or camp specific? | Value | Prior distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1/v | Incubation period | No | 3 days | |
1/γ | Infectious period | No | 3 days | |
β L | Transmission rate | Camp | Fitted | Uniform(0,∞) |
r L | Proportion of cases reported | Camp | Fitted | Gamma(20,0.005) |
ϕ L | Dispersion parameter for reporting | Camp | Fitted | Uniform(0,∞) |
α1, L | Relative susceptibility in under 5 age group | Camp | Fitted | Uniform(0,1) |
α3, L | Relative susceptibility in over 15 age group | Camp | Fitted | Uniform(0,1) |
\( {S}_{2,L}^0 \) | Initial proportion susceptible in the age group 5–14 years | No | 0.80 | |
\( {I}_{a,L}^0 \) | Initial proportion of infectious | Camp and age | Fitted | Uniform(0,∞) |