Fig. 5

Forest plots of c-statistic in external validations. Ninety-five percent confidence intervals and 95% prediction intervals per model are indicated. The performance of the model in the development study is shown in the first row(s) (not reported for the ATP III model) and is not included in the pooled estimate of performance. *Performance of the model in the development population (Wilson (no standard error reported)) and after 10 × 10 cross-validation (PCE). For the PCE, the first row contains the performance of the White model and the second the African American model. **Standard error was not available. CHD: coronary heart disease, CVD: cardiovascular disease