From: Risk prediction models for dementia: role of age and cardiometabolic risk factors
 | HR (95% CI) | R2 (95% CI) | C-statistic (95% CI) | pe | AIC | ΔAIC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Risk scores assessed in 1991–1993a, age 39 to 63 years (mean follow-up 23.5 years; 318 cases of dementia in 7553 participants) | ||||||
 CAIDE | 2.24 (1.98, 2.52) | 32.5 (25.5, 39.4) | 0.714 (0.690, 0.739) | Ref. | 5403.2 | Ref. |
 FRS | 2.08 (1.87, 2.31) | 32.0 (24.9, 39.5) | 0.719 (0.693, 0.745) | 0.727 | 5406.5 | 3.3 |
 FINDRISC | 1.52 (1.38, 1.67) | 12.5 (7.47, 19.3) | 0.630 (0.602, 0.659) | < 0.001 | 5521.2 | 118.0 |
Analysis stratified by baseline age | ||||||
Risk scores assessed at 55 yearsb(mean follow-up 17.8 years; 267 cases of dementia in 6773 participants) | ||||||
 CAIDE | 1.22 (1.09, 1.38) | 2.53 (0.31, 6.55) | 0.552 (0.514, 0.590) | Ref. | 4264.3 | Ref. |
 FRS | 1.43 (1.26, 1.61) | 6.97 (2.77, 13.0) | 0.584 (0.547, 0.621) | 0.136 | 4244.5 | − 19.8 |
 FINDRISC | 1.25 (1.10, 1.41) | 2.72 (0.35, 6.73) | 0.560 (0.522, 0.599) | 0.692 | 4263.5 | − 0.8 |
Risk scores assessed at 60 yearsc(mean follow-up 14 years; 301 cases of dementia in 7008 participants) | ||||||
 CAIDE | 1.03 (0.92, 1.16) | 0.06 (0.00, 1.60) | 0.496 (0.455, 0.537) | Ref. | 4636.3 | Ref. |
 FRS | 1.23 (1.10, 1.38) | 2.57 (0.52, 6.38) | 0.563 (0.526, 0.600) | 0.003 | 4623.8 | − 12.5 |
 FINDRISC | 1.20 (1.07, 1.36) | 1.75 (0.08, 5.32) | 0.531 (0.489, 0.572) | 0.131 | 4627.9 | − 8.4 |
Risk scores assessed at 65 yearsd(mean follow-up 9.6 years; 267 cases of dementia in 6455 participants) | ||||||
 CAIDE | 1.05 (0.93, 1.18) | 0.13 (0.00, 1.85) | 0.504 (0.463, 0.546) | Ref. | 3984.9 | Ref. |
 FRS | 1.13 (1.01, 1.27) | 1.06 (0.01, 4.22) | 0.533 (0.493, 0.574) | 0.240 | 3980.8 | − 4.1 |
 FINDRISC | 1.13 (1.00, 1.28) | 0.81 (0.01, 3.68) | 0.517 (0.476, 0.558) | 0.613 | 3981.9 | − 3.0 |