Table 3 Median (and 95% CrI) values of threshold per-dose vaccine prices (2019 USD) at or below which each vaccination scenario is cost-effective, calculated using discounted costs and DALYs, at four selected thresholds of willingness-to-pay per DALY averted. These are calculated while including a median vaccine administration cost of $1.31 per dose (gamma distributed)
Vaccine | WHO best buy ($100) | 45% per capita GDP ($623) | 1 × per capita GDP ($1913) | 3 × per capita GDP ($5738) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Current seasonal |  − 0.88 (− 3.75, 1.84) |  − 0.18 (− 2.95, 2.59) | 1.4 (− 1.51, 5.65) | 6.14 (1.28, 16.15) |
Improved (minimal) |  − 0.59 (− 3.49, 3.27) | 0.4 (− 2.52, 4.3) | 2.67 (− 0.79, 8.62) | 9.37 (3.22, 22.72) |
Improved (breadth) | 0.95 (− 2.08, 10.81) | 3.6 (− 0.12, 13.88) | 9.86 (3.68, 24.8) | 28.05 (12.97, 62.65) |
Improved (efficacy) | 0.44 (− 2.45, 8.37) | 2.53 (− 0.77, 10.81) | 7.59 (2.37, 19.41) | 21.93 (10.02, 49.66) |
Universal | 1.57 (− 1.54, 14.18) | 4.94 (0.81, 18.32) | 13.03 (5.53, 30.95) | 35.75 (17.5, 77.07) |